Electric Bus Market: Driving the Future of Sustainable Public Transport
The
global electric bus market is estimated to grow from USD 17.0 billion in
2024 to USD 37.5 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 14.2% over the forecast period.
The growth of the electric bus market is driven by
countries prioritizing the electrification of their public transportation
fleets with zero-emission mobility through subsidies, tax exemptions, and favorable
regulations prompted by emission concerns. For
instance, the EU's CO2 targets for HD vehicles demand a 45% CO2 reduction by
2030, 65% by 2035, and 90% by 2040. According to the European Green Deal and
REPowerEU goals, all new urban buses should be zero-emission by 2030. In
February 2025, the US EPA launched the Clean School Bus Program with an investment
of USD 5 bn to replace the existing buses with electric and alternative buses. Apart
from government initiatives, factors such as - advancements in battery
technology and the economic viability due to lower total cost of ownership –
are also driving the market growth. According to ACEA, diesel bus sales in
Europe reached 22,467 units in 2024, while electric bus sales totaled 6,587
units, accounting for 22% of the market. This represented a 3% increase in
electric bus adoption compared to 2023. The slight rise in electric bus
adoption represents Europe’s ongoing shift towards sustainable public
transport, driven by growing investment in electrification.
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The 9-14 m is the largest electric bus
segment.
Most public transport fleets worldwide have
incorporated the 9–14 m buses. These buses can generally travel up to 350 km on
a single charge, which becomes ideal for urban
and suburban routes. The Asia
Pacific region is expected to dominate the 9-14 m electric buses during the
forecast period owing to the adoption of large volumes of demand from key
countries such as China and India. China is expected to account for >70% of
the total electric buses in the world. China's
highest demand for e-buses comes from major urban regions such as Guangdong,
Jiangsu, and Zhejiang, which are driven by strong government policies promoting
electrification. In some
countries, municipalities from various states offer these subsidies and tax
benefits to public transport systems.
Most
of the market leaders in the electric bus industry across the globe are BYD
(China), Yutong (China), King Long (China), CRRC Corporation (China), and Tata
Motors (India), which offer 9–14 m electric buses. Other global manufacturers,
such as Proterra (US), CAF (Solaris) (Spain), VDL Groep (Netherlands), and AB
Volvo (Sweden), also offer this segment of buses. Such a greater availability
of models and broad incorporation of 9–14 m segment buses are the key reasons
for the segment to dominate the electric bus market.
LFP is expected to be the fastest-growing
battery type for electric buses.
The LFP batteries are
low-priced and have higher thermal stability than NMC batteries. These
batteries are also preferred for long-haul buses as they can accommodate heavy
battery packs built with low-density cells and offer the required range. The
only challenge with this battery type is its lower energy density than NMC
batteries. Asia Pacific is expected to dominate the LFP batteries due to the low
cost of these batteries as compared to NMC batteries. Asia Pacific dominates
the LFP market as all Chinese OEMs, such as BYD, Yutong, and Zhongtong, use LFP
batteries in electric buses. The Chinese OEMs use LFP batteries over NMC due to
their superior safety, longer lifespan, and cost-effectiveness. Some of the
examples are Yutong E12, BYD K9, Zhongtong Bus LCK6125EVG, King Long
XMQ6127EVG, Olectra BYD eBuzz K9, JBM ECO LIFE, and others. As Asia is the
largest market and Chinese OEMs dominate the global eBus market, the demand for
LFP batteries is expected during the forecast period.
Alternatively, NMC batteries are
preferred in Europe and North America due to their higher energy density,
better performance in cold climates, and fast-charging capabilities at
comparatively lower cost than LFP batteries, catering to long-range and
high-power applications. Thus, there is a rising demand for LFP batteries over
NMC. However, the export of LFP batteries is also growing from Asia to North
America and Europe due to more significant production and volume fitment in the
buses. The promising benefits of low-cost LFP batteries over NMC are expected
to raise the demand for LFP batteries.
Asia Pacific is estimated to be the largest
market for electric buses.
The
Asia Pacific region is projected to account for the largest share of the
electric bus market during the forecast period. China accounted for around 70%
of the global market share in 2024. Most Chinese cities are expected to achieve
electrification of the public transport fleet shortly, which is expected to
drive the further growth of the electric bus market in China. Further, India's
green mobility movement has gained momentum with the approval of the 'PM-eBus
Sewa' and (PM E-DRIVE) scheme initiative. India aims to replace 800,000 diesel
buses with electric buses by 2030, with initiatives like FAME I and II, which
have already sanctioned 5,595 e-buses for the public sector. Other countries
like Japan, South Korea, and Singapore have planned to upgrade their public and
private bus fleet with electric ones. Key OEMs such as Tata Motors (India), JBM
Group (India), Ashok Leyland (India), and Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus
Corporation (Japan) are emphasizing the introduction of more electric bus
models for public transportation to reduce emissions and lower dependence on
fossil fuels. With its dominant production and sales volume, the region remains
at the forefront of sustainable urban transportation solutions. This leadership
position solidifies the regional importance and enables significant growth in
the global electric bus market.
The report profiles key players such as BYD
Company Ltd. (China), Yutong Co., Ltd. (China), VDL Groep (Netherlands), AB
Volvo (Sweden) and CAF (Solaris Bus & Coach sp. z o.o.) (Spain). These
companies adopted new product development and supply contract strategies to
gain traction in the terminal tractor market.
Key Player Strategies
· In March 2025, Yutong launched the IC12E intercity e-bus for long-haul operations. The new bus is 12m long, has a seating capacity of 59 passengers, a battery capacity of 466 kWh, and offers a range of more than 600 km.
· In March 2025, Volvo launched the 7800 electric bus for Mexico, enhancing sustainable urban mobility. The 25.6-meter bi-articulated model carries up to 300 passengers, while the articulated version holds 191, with a 250-kWh charging capacity.
· In January 2025, Yutong introduced a double-articulated electric bus in Mexico to meet the demand for high-capacity, energy-efficient transport. The bus aims to enhance passenger experience and drive urban transit modernization in Mexico and Latin America.
Study
Coverage
The study segments the electric bus market and forecasts the market size based on propulsion (BEVs, FCEVs), By Range (Up to 200 miles, Above 200 miles), by the length of the bus (less than 9 m, 9-14 m, more than 14m), the consumer (Private, Government), by application (city/transit bus, coaches, midibus, school bus), by battery capacity (up to 400 kWh, Above 400 kWh), by component (motors, batteries, fuel cell stacks, battery management systems, battery cooling systems, DC-DC converters, inverters, AC/DC Chargers, EV Connectors), by the level of autonomy (semi-autonomous, autonomous), By Power Output (up to 250 kW, Above 250 kW), by seating capacity (up to 40 seats, 40-70 seats, above 70 seats), and by region (Asia Pacific, North America, Middle East & Africa [MEA], Europe, and Latin America).
"Brief information on research methodology for
the report can be found in the report description provided on the website."
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